June 20, 2024

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Hedge fund billionaire Steve Cohen expects a recession to come and go quickly before a stock market rally in 2024

2 min read

REUTERS/Steve Marcus

  • Billionaire hedge fund boss Steve Cohen doesn’t expect a deep recession or a prolonged market downturn.

  • He said a downturn could look like a “fake scare” that may surprise investors, but it will be brief.

  • Cohen said his hedge fund, Point72, maintains a “pretty positive” outlook on the economy.

Steve Cohen, the billionaire chief of hedge fund Point72 and the owner of the New York Mets, has an upbeat outlook for the US economy and financial markets.

In comments shared Wednesday at a Robinhood Conference, per Fortune, he said a short-lived recession could hit the US before the end of this year. It could take the shape of a “fake scare” that briefly spooks investors but the repercussions won’t last.

“It’s only going to be short-term in nature,” Cohen said, adding that his firm maintains a “pretty positive” outlook for the economy.

On Thursday, real gross domestic product data showed the US economy grew at a 4.9% annualized rate in the third quarter.  Cohen said he predicts economic growth to increase in 2024 and stocks to climb 3%-5%, which could ultimately spur the Fed to keep interest rates “higher than people think,” the report said.

Earlier this week, investing pioneer Rob Arnott shared a contrasting outlook for the economy this week. He told CNBC that the economy’s recent sign of strength should not be taken as reassurance for a no-recession scenario.

“People will say that recessions don’t start with a booming economy,” Arnott said. “That’s not true. Recessions always start with an economy that’s been booming. It’s the nature of the peak and the rolling over.”

Meanwhile, Jerome Powell and other central bank officials have shared divided takes on the path of monetary policy. Inflation remains nearly double the Fed’s 2% target, though CME’s FedWatch Tool shows markets do not expect a rate hike in November or December.

Additional evidence of persistently above-trend growth, or that tightness in the labor market is no longer easing, could put further…



2023-10-27 20:06:17

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